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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 February 2026

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 21
  5. 37
  6. 38
  7. 26

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,289 of 1,357 under them

← 2026-02-18All recent draws2026-02-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 14 21 37 38 + 2618 Oct 2026, 02:20 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 February 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum51th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 193 of each

4189times
10216times
14178times
21196times
37

Prize breakdown · 2026-02-21

  • Lines in play≈ 7.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 233k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.8

Where the money went

  • Match 641%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$472.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$451.2K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$522.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

179times
38182times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,288 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (4, 10, 14, 37, 38) with the draw of 2 June 2021 — its closest relative in 1,288 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 6.6% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 February 2026): 4 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 11 by chanceNZ$26,157
  • Match 5396≈ 361 by chanceNZ$590
  • Match 4 + Bonus844≈ 903 by chanceNZ$63.00
  • Match 413,900≈ 14k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,800≈ 19k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3199,080≈ 199k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 844 winners, 7% fewer than the 903 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$26,157
    Match 5396NZ$590
    Match 4 + Bonus844NZ$63.00
    Match 413,900NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,800NZ$24.00
    Match 3199,080NZ$0.00
    Totals233,030—