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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 January 2026

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 9
  3. 15
  4. 21
  5. 31
  6. 40
  7. 25

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,277 of 1,358 under them

← 2026-01-07All recent draws2026-01-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 9 15 21 31 40 + 2522 Oct 2026, 02:20 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 January 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum47th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

5186times
9183times
15208times
21193times
31

Prize breakdown · 2026-01-10

  • Lines in play≈ 8.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 291k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$521.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$525.7K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$591.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

197times
40195times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,276 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 15, 21, 31) with the draw of 25 September 2019 — its closest relative in 1,276 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 January 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 14 by chanceNZ$20,492
  • Match 5450≈ 446 by chanceNZ$587
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,241≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$49.00
  • Match 417,972≈ 18k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus25,035≈ 24k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3245,980≈ 246k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,241 winners, 11% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$20,492
    Match 5450NZ$587
    Match 4 + Bonus1,241NZ$49.00
    Match 417,972NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus25,035NZ$21.00
    Match 3245,980NZ$0.00
    Totals290,693—