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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 24 December 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 17
  3. 18
  4. 23
  5. 28
  6. 33
  7. 31

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,272 of 1,355 under them

← 2025-12-20All recent draws2025-12-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 17 18 23 28 33 + 313 Oct 2026, 12:51 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 December 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

85oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 85 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum47th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

2193times
17213times
18185times
23204times
28

Prize breakdown · 2025-12-24

  • Lines in play≈ 9.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 301k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$551.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$532.7K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$613.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

195times
33192times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,271 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 18, 23, 33) with the draw of 20 January 2024 — its closest relative in 1,271 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 December 2025): 2, 17, 33 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 14 by chanceNZ$27,621
  • Match 5486≈ 465 by chanceNZ$564
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,127≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 419,008≈ 19k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,214≈ 25k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3256,096≈ 256k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,127 winners, 3% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$27,621
    Match 5486NZ$564
    Match 4 + Bonus1,127NZ$56.00
    Match 419,008NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,214NZ$22.00
    Match 3256,096NZ$0.00
    Totals300,943—