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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 3 December 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 9
  3. 24
  4. 30
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 34

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,266 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-11-29All recent draws2025-12-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 9 24 30 38 40 + 3424 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 December 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 190 of each

3181times
9182times
24205times
30179times
38

Prize breakdown · 2025-12-03

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 253k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$474.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$463.6K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$535.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

181times
40194times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,265 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 24, 30, 40) with the draw of 26 December 2018 — its closest relative in 1,265 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 November 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus6≈ 12 by chanceNZ$40,174
  • Match 5350≈ 393 by chanceNZ$683
  • Match 4 + Bonus932≈ 983 by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 415,293≈ 16k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus19,316≈ 21k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3216,626≈ 217k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 19,316 winners, 8% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus6NZ$40,174
    Match 5350NZ$683
    Match 4 + Bonus932NZ$59.00
    Match 415,293NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus19,316NZ$24.00
    Match 3216,626NZ$0.00
    Totals252,524—