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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 19 November 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 10
  3. 18
  4. 25
  5. 29
  6. 31
  7. 21

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,262 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-11-15All recent draws2025-11-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 10 18 25 29 31 + 2124 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 November 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 189 of each

2190times
10210times
18182times
25198times
29

Prize breakdown · 2025-11-19

  • Lines in play≈ 8.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.5Mto 274k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$251.6K
  • Match 432%NZ$491.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$477.2K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$307.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

196times
31193times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,261 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 10, 18, 29) with the draw of 8 February 2023 — its closest relative in 1,261 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 November 2025): 2 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 13 by chanceNZ$16,772
  • Match 5423≈ 422 by chanceNZ$590
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,088≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 417,552≈ 17k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,725≈ 23k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3232,598≈ 233k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 17,552 winners, 4% more than the 17k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$16,772
    Match 5423NZ$590
    Match 4 + Bonus1,088NZ$53.00
    Match 417,552NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,725NZ$21.00
    Match 3232,598NZ$0.00
    Totals274,401—