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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 24 September 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 20
  3. 24
  4. 26
  5. 31
  6. 36
  7. 12

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,246 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-09-20All recent draws2025-09-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 20 24 26 31 36 + 129 Sept 2026, 23:25 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 September 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd5th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each

10205times
20188times
24199times
26181times
31

Prize breakdown · 2025-09-24

  • Lines in play≈ 6.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.3Mto 208k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.6

Where the money went

  • Match 644%NZ$1M
  • Match 418%NZ$407.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$403.2K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$456.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

191times
36172times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,245 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 24, 31, 36) with the draw of 30 October 2024 — its closest relative in 1,245 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 September 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

147

The numbers add up to 147 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 9.7 by chanceNZ$22,861
  • Match 5329≈ 320 by chanceNZ$620
  • Match 4 + Bonus860≈ 801 by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 412,351≈ 13k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,325≈ 17k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3176,558≈ 177k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 860 winners, 7% more than the 801 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$22,861
    Match 5329NZ$620
    Match 4 + Bonus860NZ$54.00
    Match 412,351NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,325NZ$22.00
    Match 3176,558NZ$0.00
    Totals208,433—