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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 3 September 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 4
  4. 10
  5. 28
  6. 38
  7. 40

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,240 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-08-30All recent draws2025-09-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 4 10 28 38 + 4029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 September 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

29oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd5th
  • low79th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 186 of each

1198times
2186times
4179times
10204times
28

Prize breakdown · 2025-09-03

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.2Mto 211k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.6

Where the money went

  • Match 646%NZ$1M
  • Match 418%NZ$378.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$360.8K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$419.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

191times
38177times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,239 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 28, 38) with the draw of 30 July 2025 — its closest relative in 1,239 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 August 2025): 4 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

83

The numbers add up to 83 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 9.8 by chanceNZ$17,186
  • Match 5345≈ 325 by chanceNZ$543
  • Match 4 + Bonus866≈ 812 by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 413,052≈ 13k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,039≈ 17k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3178,999≈ 179k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 866 winners, 7% more than the 812 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$17,186
    Match 5345NZ$543
    Match 4 + Bonus866NZ$50.00
    Match 413,052NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,039NZ$20.00
    Match 3178,999NZ$0.00
    Totals211,313—