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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 26 July 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 18
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 34
  6. 37
  7. 21

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,229 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-07-23All recent draws2025-07-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 18 29 30 34 37 + 2129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 184 of each

9173times
18178times
29193times
30174times
34

Prize breakdown · 2025-07-26

  • Lines in play≈ 9.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 300k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 635%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$591.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$575.3K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$671.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

177times
37169times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,228 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (18, 29, 30, 34) with the draw of 24 August 2022 — its closest relative in 1,228 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 July 2025): 9 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

157

The numbers add up to 157 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 14 by chanceNZ$37,809
  • Match 5390≈ 463 by chanceNZ$769
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,173≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 417,911≈ 19k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus25,011≈ 25k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3255,376≈ 255k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 17,911 winners, 3% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$37,809
    Match 5390NZ$769
    Match 4 + Bonus1,173NZ$59.00
    Match 417,911NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus25,011NZ$23.00
    Match 3255,376NZ$0.00
    Totals299,870—