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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 2 April 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 25
  3. 26
  4. 29
  5. 33
  6. 40
  7. 20

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,196 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-03-29All recent draws2025-04-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 25 26 29 33 40 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 April 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

14158times
25190times
26175times
29188times
33

Prize breakdown · 2025-04-02

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.2Mto 202k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.6

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$205.4K
  • Match 432%NZ$401.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$392K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$250.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

178times
40181times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,195 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (26, 29, 33, 40) with the draw of 21 October 2023 — its closest relative in 1,195 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 March 2025): 14 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

167

The numbers add up to 167 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 9.5 by chanceNZ$25,678
  • Match 5313≈ 313 by chanceNZ$651
  • Match 4 + Bonus772≈ 783 by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 412,166≈ 13k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus16,333≈ 17k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3172,617≈ 173k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 12,166 winners, 3% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$25,678
    Match 5313NZ$651
    Match 4 + Bonus772NZ$61.00
    Match 412,166NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus16,333NZ$24.00
    Match 3172,617NZ$0.00
    Totals202,209—