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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 March 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 12
  4. 27
  5. 29
  6. 36
  7. 31

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,191 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-03-12All recent draws2025-03-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 12 27 29 36 + 3129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 March 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum43th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

4169times
10194times
12191times
27161times
29

Prize breakdown · 2025-03-15

  • Lines in play≈ 9.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 314k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$580K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$566.2K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$643.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

186times
36167times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,190 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 12, 27, 29) with the draw of 20 September 2023 — its closest relative in 1,190 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 March 2025): 29 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

118

The numbers add up to 118 — the 42th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 15 by chanceNZ$19,321
  • Match 5478≈ 487 by chanceNZ$601
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,145≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 419,333≈ 19k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,616≈ 26k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3268,132≈ 268k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,145 winners, 6% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$19,321
    Match 5478NZ$601
    Match 4 + Bonus1,145NZ$58.00
    Match 419,333NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,616NZ$23.00
    Match 3268,132NZ$0.00
    Totals313,721—