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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 February 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 13
  3. 14
  4. 16
  5. 21
  6. 37
  7. 23

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,183 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-02-12All recent draws2025-02-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 13 14 16 21 37 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 February 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 177 of each

5173times
13182times
14155times
16171times
21

Prize breakdown · 2025-02-15

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 260k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$496.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$476.9K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$552.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

178times
37165times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,182 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (5, 13, 14, 21, 37) with the draw of 15 May 2019 — its closest relative in 1,182 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 6.1% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 February 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 12 by chanceNZ$16,612
  • Match 5402≈ 401 by chanceNZ$615
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,006≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 415,529≈ 16k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,676≈ 21k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3221,001≈ 221k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 15,529 winners, 3% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$16,612
    Match 5402NZ$615
    Match 4 + Bonus1,006NZ$56.00
    Match 415,529NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,676NZ$22.00
    Match 3221,001NZ$0.00
    Totals259,631—