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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 11 January 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 10
  3. 13
  4. 22
  5. 37
  6. 40
  7. 17

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,173 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-01-08All recent draws2025-01-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 10 13 22 37 40 + 1729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 January 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 176 of each

7169times
10190times
13180times
22184times
37

Prize breakdown · 2025-01-11

  • Lines in play≈ 8.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 272k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 641%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$467K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$455.7K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$522.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

162times
40178times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,172 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 22, 37, 40) with the draw of 12 November 2022 — its closest relative in 1,172 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 January 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 13 by chanceNZ$15,716
  • Match 5419≈ 416 by chanceNZ$558
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,129≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$47.00
  • Match 416,678≈ 17k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,982≈ 22k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3229,278≈ 229k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,129 winners, 9% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$15,716
    Match 5419NZ$558
    Match 4 + Bonus1,129NZ$47.00
    Match 416,678NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,982NZ$19.00
    Match 3229,278NZ$0.00
    Totals271,505—