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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 January 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 16
  3. 20
  4. 28
  5. 31
  6. 36
  7. 11

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,171 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-01-01All recent draws2025-01-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 16 20 28 31 36 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 January 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum64th
  • odd5th
  • low50th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 176 of each

2177times
16168times
20174times
28182times
31

Prize breakdown · 2025-01-04

  • Lines in play≈ 7.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 260k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$526.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$502.2K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$582.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

182times
36166times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,170 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 28, 31, 36) with the draw of 4 September 2024 — its closest relative in 1,170 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 January 2025): 16 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

133

The numbers add up to 133 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 12 by chanceNZ$21,865
  • Match 5411≈ 399 by chanceNZ$633
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,129≈ 997 by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 415,945≈ 16k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,828≈ 21k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3219,863≈ 220k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,129 winners, 13% more than the 997 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$21,865
    Match 5411NZ$633
    Match 4 + Bonus1,129NZ$53.00
    Match 415,945NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,828NZ$22.00
    Match 3219,863NZ$0.00
    Totals260,189—