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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 December 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 9
  4. 21
  5. 24
  6. 33
  7. 11

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,167 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-12-18All recent draws2024-12-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 9 21 24 33 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 175 of each

2175times
3170times
9159times
21174times
24

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-21

  • Lines in play≈ 9.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 323k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$579.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$561K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$653K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

189times
33171times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,166 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 9, 21, 24) with the draw of 4 December 2021 — its closest relative in 1,166 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 December 2024): 3 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 15 by chanceNZ$22,652
  • Match 5488≈ 493 by chanceNZ$598
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,334≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 419,993≈ 20k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus29,527≈ 26k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3271,804≈ 272k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 29,527 winners, 12% more than the 26k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$22,652
    Match 5488NZ$598
    Match 4 + Bonus1,334NZ$50.00
    Match 419,993NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus29,527NZ$19.00
    Match 3271,804NZ$0.00
    Totals323,160—