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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 4 December 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 7
  3. 17
  4. 20
  5. 23
  6. 35
  7. 39

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,162 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-11-30All recent draws2024-12-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 7 17 20 23 35 + 3929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum29th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each

6168times
7167times
17197times
20173times
23

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-04

  • Lines in play≈ 8.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 286k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$528.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$513.2K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$583.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

190times
35181times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,161 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 20, 23, 35) with the draw of 19 July 2023 — its closest relative in 1,161 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 November 2024): 17 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 14 by chanceNZ$29,217
  • Match 5407≈ 446 by chanceNZ$641
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,036≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 417,062≈ 18k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,382≈ 24k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3245,835≈ 246k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 21,382 winners, 10% fewer than the 24k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$29,217
    Match 5407NZ$641
    Match 4 + Bonus1,036NZ$58.00
    Match 417,062NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,382NZ$24.00
    Match 3245,835NZ$0.00
    Totals285,732—