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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 November 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 12
  4. 19
  5. 28
  6. 39
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,157 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-11-13All recent draws2024-11-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 12 19 28 39 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 November 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 173 of each

3165times
5170times
12186times
19200times
28

Prize breakdown · 2024-11-16

  • Lines in play≈ 8.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 279k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 29lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$492.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$472.3K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$545.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

179times
39158times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,156 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 19, 28, 39) with the draw of 21 May 2022 — its closest relative in 1,156 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 November 2024): 3 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus18≈ 13 by chanceNZ$13,632
  • Match 5421≈ 424 by chanceNZ$578
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,312≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$43.00
  • Match 417,604≈ 17k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,239≈ 23k by chanceNZ$18.00
  • Match 3233,795≈ 234k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,312 winners, 24% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus18NZ$13,632
    Match 5421NZ$578
    Match 4 + Bonus1,312NZ$43.00
    Match 417,604NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,239NZ$18.00
    Match 3233,795NZ$0.00
    Totals279,390—