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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 9 November 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 12
  3. 13
  4. 16
  5. 18
  6. 28
  7. 21

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,155 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-11-06All recent draws2024-11-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 12 13 16 18 28 + 2129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 November 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd5th
  • low95th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 173 of each

2174times
12185times
13177times
16165times
18

Prize breakdown · 2024-11-09

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 336k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.6

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$565.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$560K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$641.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

168times
28178times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,154 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 12, 13, 28) with the draw of 30 May 2020 — its closest relative in 1,154 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 November 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

89

The numbers add up to 89 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus21≈ 16 by chanceNZ$13,756
  • Match 5501≈ 517 by chanceNZ$572
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,313≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 420,931≈ 21k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus28,002≈ 28k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3285,166≈ 285k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 501 winners, 3% fewer than the 517 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus21NZ$13,756
    Match 5501NZ$572
    Match 4 + Bonus1,313NZ$50.00
    Match 420,931NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus28,002NZ$20.00
    Match 3285,166NZ$0.00
    Totals335,938—