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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 30 October 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 22
  3. 24
  4. 25
  5. 31
  6. 36
  7. 39

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,152 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-10-26All recent draws2024-11-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 22 24 25 31 36 + 3929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd21th
  • low5th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 173 of each

10187times
22182times
24186times
25183times
31

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-30

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.2Mto 206k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.6

Where the money went

  • Match 645%NZ$1M
  • Match 418%NZ$391.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$383.7K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$438.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

178times
36164times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,151 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 22, 25, 36) with the draw of 8 June 2019 — its closest relative in 1,151 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 October 2024): 10, 25 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 9.8 by chanceNZ$16,460
  • Match 5282≈ 323 by chanceNZ$695
  • Match 4 + Bonus707≈ 807 by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 412,222≈ 13k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus15,349≈ 17k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3177,893≈ 178k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 707 winners, 12% fewer than the 807 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$16,460
    Match 5282NZ$695
    Match 4 + Bonus707NZ$64.00
    Match 412,222NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus15,349NZ$25.00
    Match 3177,893NZ$0.00
    Totals206,466—