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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 31 August 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 14
  3. 16
  4. 24
  5. 34
  6. 39
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,135 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-08-28All recent draws2024-09-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 14 16 24 34 39 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd5th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 170 of each

8152times
14151times
16162times
24182times
34

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-31

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.3Mto 380k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 2.9

Where the money went

  • Match 630%NZ$1M
  • Match 423%NZ$746K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$737.9K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$829.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 2.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

164times
39155times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,134 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 16, 24, 39) with the draw of 7 May 2022 — its closest relative in 1,134 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 August 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

135

The numbers add up to 135 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus36≈ 18 by chanceNZ$10,377
  • Match 5560≈ 581 by chanceNZ$662
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,808≈ 1.5k by chanceNZ$47.00
  • Match 423,311≈ 23k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus33,543≈ 31k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3320,352≈ 320k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,808 winners, 24% more than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus36NZ$10,377
    Match 5560NZ$662
    Match 4 + Bonus1,808NZ$47.00
    Match 423,311NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus33,543NZ$22.00
    Match 3320,352NZ$0.00
    Totals379,615—