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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 3 July 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 27
  3. 28
  4. 34
  5. 35
  6. 37
  7. 25

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,118 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-06-29All recent draws2024-07-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 27 28 34 35 37 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 168 of each

12175times
27151times
28169times
34160times
35

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-03

  • Lines in play≈ 6.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 228k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.8

Where the money went

  • Match 641%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$460.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$447.8K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$512.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

177times
37158times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,117 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 28, 35, 37) with the draw of 28 October 2020 — its closest relative in 1,117 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 June 2024): 34, 35 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

173

The numbers add up to 173 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28, 34–35. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 11 by chanceNZ$28,822
  • Match 5320≈ 353 by chanceNZ$715
  • Match 4 + Bonus912≈ 882 by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 413,962≈ 14k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,660≈ 19k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3194,346≈ 194k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 912 winners, 3% more than the 882 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$28,822
    Match 5320NZ$715
    Match 4 + Bonus912NZ$58.00
    Match 413,962NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,660NZ$24.00
    Match 3194,346NZ$0.00
    Totals228,210—