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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 17 April 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 14
  4. 15
  5. 17
  6. 19
  7. 34

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,096 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-04-13All recent draws2024-04-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 14 15 17 19 + 3429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 April 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd79th
  • low99th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each

1171times
2165times
14147times
15183times
17

Prize breakdown · 2024-04-17

  • Lines in play≈ 6.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.2Mto 228k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.8

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$202.8K
  • Match 432%NZ$400.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$395.4K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$247.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

180times
19189times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,095 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 14, 15, 17) with the draw of 23 August 2023 — its closest relative in 1,095 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 April 2024): 14 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

68

The numbers add up to 68 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2, 14–15. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 11 by chanceNZ$25,348
  • Match 5364≈ 355 by chanceNZ$553
  • Match 4 + Bonus747≈ 887 by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 414,318≈ 14k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus16,477≈ 19k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3195,640≈ 196k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 747 winners, 16% fewer than the 887 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$25,348
    Match 5364NZ$553
    Match 4 + Bonus747NZ$62.00
    Match 414,318NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus16,477NZ$24.00
    Match 3195,640NZ$0.00
    Totals227,554—