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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 3 April 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 11
  3. 16
  4. 17
  5. 29
  6. 30
  7. 25

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,092 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-03-30All recent draws2024-04-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 11 16 17 29 30 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 April 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each

9154times
11151times
16153times
17178times
29

Prize breakdown · 2024-04-03

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3Mto 366k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.9

Where the money went

  • Match 633%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$668.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$633.8K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$739.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

171times
30151times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,091 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 11, 16) with the draw of 23 March 2024 — its closest relative in 1,091 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 March 2024): 29, 30 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17, 29–30. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 17 by chanceNZ$22,215
  • Match 5559≈ 566 by chanceNZ$591
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,329≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 422,272≈ 23k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus30,183≈ 30k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3311,830≈ 312k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,329 winners, 6% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$22,215
    Match 5559NZ$591
    Match 4 + Bonus1,329NZ$57.00
    Match 422,272NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus30,183NZ$21.00
    Match 3311,830NZ$0.00
    Totals366,189—