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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 20 March 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 18
  3. 21
  4. 23
  5. 32
  6. 37
  7. 36

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,088 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-03-16All recent draws2024-03-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 18 21 23 32 37 + 3629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 March 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 163 of each

1170times
18163times
21160times
23185times
32

Prize breakdown · 2024-03-20

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 249k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$473.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$460.6K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$537.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

162times
37152times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,087 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 18, 23, 32) with the draw of 18 August 2021 — its closest relative in 1,087 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 March 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 12 by chanceNZ$24,228
  • Match 5364≈ 387 by chanceNZ$660
  • Match 4 + Bonus927≈ 968 by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 415,270≈ 15k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus19,191≈ 21k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3213,495≈ 213k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 19,191 winners, 7% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$24,228
    Match 5364NZ$660
    Match 4 + Bonus927NZ$59.00
    Match 415,270NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus19,191NZ$24.00
    Match 3213,495NZ$0.00
    Totals249,258—