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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 February 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 10
  3. 17
  4. 28
  5. 33
  6. 40
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,077 of 1,359 under them

← 2024-02-07All recent draws2024-02-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 10 17 28 33 40 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 February 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum64th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 161 of each

5155times
10170times
17175times
28161times
33

Prize breakdown · 2024-02-10

  • Lines in play≈ 8.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 299k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$537.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$532.9K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$603.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

157times
40164times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,076 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 17, 28, 33) with the draw of 24 May 2023 — its closest relative in 1,076 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 February 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

133

The numbers add up to 133 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus21≈ 14 by chanceNZ$12,965
  • Match 5494≈ 460 by chanceNZ$547
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,116≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 418,525≈ 18k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus25,377≈ 25k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3253,746≈ 254k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 25,377 winners, 3% more than the 25k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus21NZ$12,965
    Match 5494NZ$547
    Match 4 + Bonus1,116NZ$55.00
    Match 418,525NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus25,377NZ$21.00
    Match 3253,746NZ$0.00
    Totals299,282—