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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 9 December 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 16
  3. 22
  4. 24
  5. 27
  6. 30
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,059 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-12-06All recent draws2023-12-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 16 22 24 27 30 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd5th
  • low21th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 159 of each

4159times
16147times
22169times
24171times
27

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-09

  • Lines in play≈ 8.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 291k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 638%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$524.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$520.3K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$590.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

144times
30146times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,058 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 22, 24, 30) with the draw of 1 February 2020 — its closest relative in 1,058 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 December 2023): 27 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 14 by chanceNZ$17,723
  • Match 5413≈ 450 by chanceNZ$638
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,085≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 418,084≈ 18k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,652≈ 24k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3247,779≈ 248k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,085 winners, 3% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$17,723
    Match 5413NZ$638
    Match 4 + Bonus1,085NZ$56.00
    Match 418,084NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,652NZ$22.00
    Match 3247,779NZ$0.00
    Totals291,032—