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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 2 December 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 16
  3. 18
  4. 33
  5. 34
  6. 36
  7. 15

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,057 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-11-29All recent draws2023-12-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 16 18 33 34 36 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 158 of each

1164times
16146times
18160times
33154times
34

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-02

  • Lines in play≈ 7.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 239k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$492.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$481.9K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$548.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

147times
36150times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,056 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 18, 34, 36) with the draw of 1 September 2018 — its closest relative in 1,056 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 November 2023): 36 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 11 by chanceNZ$20,598
  • Match 5319≈ 372 by chanceNZ$768
  • Match 4 + Bonus860≈ 929 by chanceNZ$65.00
  • Match 414,072≈ 15k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,535≈ 20k by chanceNZ$26.00
  • Match 3204,875≈ 205k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 860 winners, 7% fewer than the 929 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$20,598
    Match 5319NZ$768
    Match 4 + Bonus860NZ$65.00
    Match 414,072NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,535NZ$26.00
    Match 3204,875NZ$0.00
    Totals238,675—