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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 15 November 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 12
  3. 17
  4. 19
  5. 34
  6. 36
  7. 21

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,052 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-11-11All recent draws2023-11-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 12 17 19 34 36 + 2129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 158 of each

7151times
12161times
17170times
19187times
34

Prize breakdown · 2023-11-15

  • Lines in play≈ 5.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.1Mto 197k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 647%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$356.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$354.1K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$402.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

145times
36148times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,051 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 17, 19, 36) with the draw of 16 August 2023 — its closest relative in 1,051 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 November 2023): 19 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus7≈ 9.2 by chanceNZ$25,961
  • Match 5278≈ 304 by chanceNZ$648
  • Match 4 + Bonus708≈ 760 by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 411,882≈ 12k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus16,095≈ 16k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3167,621≈ 168k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 708 winners, 7% fewer than the 760 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus7NZ$25,961
    Match 5278NZ$648
    Match 4 + Bonus708NZ$58.00
    Match 411,882NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus16,095NZ$22.00
    Match 3167,621NZ$0.00
    Totals196,593—