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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 27 September 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 6
  3. 9
  4. 11
  5. 19
  6. 27
  7. 23

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,038 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-09-23All recent draws2023-09-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 6 9 11 19 27 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd95th
  • low95th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 156 of each

3147times
6152times
9146times
11143times
19

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-27

  • Lines in play≈ 9.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 320k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 29lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 2.4

Where the money went

  • Match 639%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$496K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$486.6K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$554.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 2.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

183times
27140times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,037 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 11, 19, 27) with the draw of 5 July 2017 — its closest relative in 1,037 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 September 2023): 27 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus24≈ 15 by chanceNZ$10,422
  • Match 5691≈ 483 by chanceNZ$359
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,751≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 422,546≈ 19k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus28,624≈ 26k by chanceNZ$17.00
  • Match 3266,396≈ 266k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,751 winners, 45% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus24NZ$10,422
    Match 5691NZ$359
    Match 4 + Bonus1,751NZ$32.00
    Match 422,546NZ$22.00
    Match 3 + Bonus28,624NZ$17.00
    Match 3266,396NZ$0.00
    Totals320,037—