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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 6 September 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 22
  3. 25
  4. 26
  5. 32
  6. 36
  7. 21

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,032 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-09-02All recent draws2023-09-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 22 25 26 32 36 + 2129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd21th
  • low5th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 155 of each

13152times
22166times
25162times
26157times
32

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-06

  • Lines in play≈ 6.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.3Mto 209k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 1.6

Where the money went

  • Match 644%NZ$1M
  • Match 418%NZ$415.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$397.7K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$460.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 1.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

156times
36143times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,031 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 22, 25, 26) with the draw of 12 November 2022 — its closest relative in 1,031 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 September 2023): 36 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 9.8 by chanceNZ$20,762
  • Match 5298≈ 322 by chanceNZ$691
  • Match 4 + Bonus802≈ 806 by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 412,582≈ 13k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus17,292≈ 17k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3177,664≈ 178k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 12,582 winners, 2% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$20,762
    Match 5298NZ$691
    Match 4 + Bonus802NZ$59.00
    Match 412,582NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus17,292NZ$23.00
    Match 3177,664NZ$0.00
    Totals208,649—