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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 2 August 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 23
  3. 25
  4. 27
  5. 28
  6. 32
  7. 17

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,022 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-07-29All recent draws2023-08-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 23 25 27 28 32 + 1729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum75th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 153 of each

6150times
23173times
25161times
27137times
28

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-02

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.1Mto 369k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.9

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$347.7K
  • Match 433%NZ$700.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$674.6K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$423.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

153times
32154times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,021 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (6, 23, 25, 27, 32) with the draw of 24 July 2019 — its closest relative in 1,021 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.3% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus22≈ 17 by chanceNZ$15,805
  • Match 5551≈ 567 by chanceNZ$626
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,508≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$52.00
  • Match 422,591≈ 23k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus32,124≈ 30k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3312,220≈ 312k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,508 winners, 6% more than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus22NZ$15,805
    Match 5551NZ$626
    Match 4 + Bonus1,508NZ$52.00
    Match 422,591NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus32,124NZ$21.00
    Match 3312,220NZ$0.00
    Totals369,016—