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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 26 July 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 19
  3. 23
  4. 25
  5. 27
  6. 37
  7. 13

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,020 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-07-22All recent draws2023-07-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 19 23 25 27 37 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd99th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 153 of each

17165times
19180times
23172times
25160times
27

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-26

  • Lines in play≈ 9.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 324k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 29lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$572.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$538.7K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$634.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

136times
37143times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,019 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 23, 25, 27) with the draw of 11 April 2020 — its closest relative in 1,019 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 July 2023): 25 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 15 by chanceNZ$35,684
  • Match 5588≈ 493 by chanceNZ$482
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,420≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$46.00
  • Match 420,456≈ 20k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus29,927≈ 26k by chanceNZ$18.00
  • Match 3271,656≈ 272k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,420 winners, 15% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$35,684
    Match 5588NZ$482
    Match 4 + Bonus1,420NZ$46.00
    Match 420,456NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus29,927NZ$18.00
    Match 3271,656NZ$0.00
    Totals324,056—