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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 31 May 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 11
  3. 14
  4. 18
  5. 21
  6. 25
  7. 23

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,004 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-05-27All recent draws2023-06-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 11 14 18 21 25 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 150 of each

3143times
11141times
14138times
18153times
21

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-31

  • Lines in play≈ 7.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 258k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 642%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$448.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$441.3K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$505.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

149times
25155times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,003 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 11, 18, 21) with the draw of 16 March 2019 — its closest relative in 1,003 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 May 2023): 21 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus20≈ 12 by chanceNZ$11,383
  • Match 5445≈ 397 by chanceNZ$507
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,080≈ 993 by chanceNZ$48.00
  • Match 416,013≈ 16k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,065≈ 21k by chanceNZ$20.00
  • Match 3218,847≈ 219k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,080 winners, 9% more than the 993 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus20NZ$11,383
    Match 5445NZ$507
    Match 4 + Bonus1,080NZ$48.00
    Match 416,013NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,065NZ$20.00
    Match 3218,847NZ$0.00
    Totals258,472—