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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 18 March 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 11
  3. 17
  4. 27
  5. 37
  6. 38
  7. 26

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 983 of 1,359 under them

← 2023-03-15All recent draws2023-03-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 11 17 27 37 38 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 147 of each

4144times
11139times
17159times
27132times
37

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-18

  • Lines in play≈ 16Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$4Mto 520k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 4.1

Where the money went

  • Match 625%NZ$1M
  • Match 424%NZ$980K
  • Match 3 + Bonus24%NZ$962.9K
  • 3 other tiers27%NZ$1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 4.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

136times
38133times

Every number was expected about that many times after 982 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 11, 17, 37) with the draw of 16 November 2016 — its closest relative in 982 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 March 2023): 4 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus20≈ 24 by chanceNZ$24,497
  • Match 5867≈ 803 by chanceNZ$560
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,923≈ 2.0k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 432,665≈ 32k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus41,864≈ 43k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3442,812≈ 443k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 867 winners, 8% more than the 803 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus20NZ$24,497
    Match 5867NZ$560
    Match 4 + Bonus1,923NZ$58.00
    Match 432,665NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus41,864NZ$23.00
    Match 3442,812NZ$0.00
    Totals520,153—