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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 19 October 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 12
  3. 17
  4. 25
  5. 30
  6. 32
  7. 23

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 940 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-10-15All recent draws2022-10-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 12 17 25 30 32 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 141 of each

10150times
12145times
17153times
25144times
30

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-19

  • Lines in play≈ 8.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 274k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$490.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$485.3K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$555.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

134times
32143times

Every number was expected about that many times after 939 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 12, 17, 30) with the draw of 23 February 2022 — its closest relative in 939 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 October 2022): 10 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 13 by chanceNZ$16,682
  • Match 5446≈ 421 by chanceNZ$556
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,002≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 416,907≈ 17k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,110≈ 22k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3232,163≈ 232k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,002 winners, 5% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$16,682
    Match 5446NZ$556
    Match 4 + Bonus1,002NZ$57.00
    Match 416,907NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,110NZ$21.00
    Match 3232,163NZ$0.00
    Totals273,644—