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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 12 October 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 15
  3. 22
  4. 27
  5. 37
  6. 39
  7. 31

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 938 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-10-08All recent draws2022-10-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 15 22 27 37 39 + 3129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum83th
  • odd95th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 141 of each

9133times
15158times
22148times
27125times
37

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-12

  • Lines in play≈ 7.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 240k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 642%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$450.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$438.5K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$511.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

130times
39135times

Every number was expected about that many times after 937 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 15, 22, 27) with the draw of 11 May 2016 — its closest relative in 937 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 October 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus7≈ 11 by chanceNZ$32,919
  • Match 5359≈ 372 by chanceNZ$637
  • Match 4 + Bonus844≈ 931 by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 414,530≈ 15k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus19,064≈ 20k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3205,128≈ 205k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 844 winners, 9% fewer than the 931 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus7NZ$32,919
    Match 5359NZ$637
    Match 4 + Bonus844NZ$62.00
    Match 414,530NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus19,064NZ$23.00
    Match 3205,128NZ$0.00
    Totals239,937—