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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 19 March 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 20
  3. 23
  4. 30
  5. 31
  6. 40
  7. 9

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 879 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-03-16All recent draws2022-03-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 20 23 30 31 40 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 March 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 132 of each

17146times
20132times
23145times
30124times
31

Prize breakdown · 2022-03-19

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.5Mto 436k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 68 winnerschance said 3.4

Where the money went

  • Match 628%NZ$1M
  • Match 423%NZ$820.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus23%NZ$811.4K
  • 3 other tiers26%NZ$907.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 68≈ 3.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

129times
40131times

Every number was expected about that many times after 878 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 23, 31, 40) with the draw of 20 March 2021 — its closest relative in 878 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 March 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

161

The numbers add up to 161 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$125,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus18≈ 20 by chanceNZ$22,727
  • Match 5712≈ 671 by chanceNZ$570
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,742≈ 1.7k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 426,475≈ 27k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus36,880≈ 36k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3369,954≈ 370k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 712 winners, 6% more than the 671 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 68NZ$125,000
    Match 5 + Bonus18NZ$22,727
    Match 5712NZ$570
    Match 4 + Bonus1,742NZ$53.00
    Match 426,475NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus36,880NZ$22.00
    Match 3369,954NZ$0.00
    Totals435,789—