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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 January 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 17
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 30
  6. 34
  7. 40

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 861 of 1,359 under them

← 2022-01-12All recent draws2022-01-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 17 20 21 30 34 + 4029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 January 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 129 of each

13126times
17143times
20130times
21130times
30

Prize breakdown · 2022-01-15

  • Lines in play≈ 8.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 293k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 420%NZ$561.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$553.5K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$636.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

122times
34115times

Every number was expected about that many times after 860 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 20, 30, 34) with the draw of 21 January 2017 — its closest relative in 860 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 January 2022): 13, 20 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

135

The numbers add up to 135 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus16≈ 14 by chanceNZ$17,919
  • Match 5437≈ 453 by chanceNZ$651
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,164≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 417,553≈ 18k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,065≈ 24k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3249,598≈ 250k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 17,553 winners, 3% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus16NZ$17,919
    Match 5437NZ$651
    Match 4 + Bonus1,164NZ$56.00
    Match 417,553NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,065NZ$23.00
    Match 3249,598NZ$0.00
    Totals292,834—