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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 25 December 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 5
  4. 11
  5. 12
  6. 38
  7. 34

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 855 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-12-22All recent draws2021-12-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 5 11 12 38 + 3429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 128 of each

1140times
3122times
5112times
11123times
12

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-25

  • Lines in play≈ 15Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.6Mto 488k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 67 winnerschance said 3.8

Where the money went

  • Match 628%NZ$1M
  • Match 423%NZ$831.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus23%NZ$833.6K
  • 3 other tiers26%NZ$935.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 67≈ 3.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

129times
38114times

Every number was expected about that many times after 854 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 11, 12) with the draw of 12 October 2016 — its closest relative in 854 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 December 2021): 12 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

70

The numbers add up to 70 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$142,857
  • Match 5 + Bonus34≈ 23 by chanceNZ$12,407
  • Match 5789≈ 758 by chanceNZ$530
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,622≈ 1.9k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 431,975≈ 30k by chanceNZ$26.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus36,244≈ 40k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3417,481≈ 417k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,622 winners, 14% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 67NZ$142,857
    Match 5 + Bonus34NZ$12,407
    Match 5789NZ$530
    Match 4 + Bonus1,622NZ$59.00
    Match 431,975NZ$26.00
    Match 3 + Bonus36,244NZ$23.00
    Match 3417,481NZ$0.00
    Totals488,152—