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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 December 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 9
  3. 21
  4. 24
  5. 29
  6. 39
  7. 18

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 849 of 1,355 under them

← 2021-12-01All recent draws2021-12-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 9 21 24 29 39 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum51th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 127 of each

2130times
9122times
21129times
24129times
29

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-04

  • Lines in play≈ 7.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.4Mto 247k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 641%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 419%NZ$469.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$451.1K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$522.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

134times
39122times

Every number was expected about that many times after 848 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 9, 21) with the draw of 5 May 2021 — its closest relative in 848 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 December 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 11 by chanceNZ$19,614
  • Match 5375≈ 379 by chanceNZ$623
  • Match 4 + Bonus995≈ 946 by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 415,152≈ 15k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,479≈ 20k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3208,607≈ 209k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 21,479 winners, 6% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$19,614
    Match 5375NZ$623
    Match 4 + Bonus995NZ$54.00
    Match 415,152NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,479NZ$21.00
    Match 3208,607NZ$0.00
    Totals246,625—