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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 3 November 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 25
  5. 33
  6. 35
  7. 16

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 840 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-10-30All recent draws2021-11-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 15 17 25 33 35 + 1629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 November 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 126 of each

10136times
15141times
17137times
25125times
33

Prize breakdown · 2021-11-03

  • Lines in play≈ 6.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.2Mto 201k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 1.6

Where the money went

  • Match 646%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$372.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$374.1K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$421.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 1.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

117times
35140times

Every number was expected about that many times after 839 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 15, 33, 35) with the draw of 29 December 2018 — its closest relative in 839 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 October 2021): 17 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

135

The numbers add up to 135 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus12≈ 9.4 by chanceNZ$15,830
  • Match 5333≈ 310 by chanceNZ$566
  • Match 4 + Bonus673≈ 776 by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 412,844≈ 12k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus15,588≈ 17k by chanceNZ$24.00
  • Match 3171,076≈ 171k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 673 winners, 13% fewer than the 776 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus12NZ$15,830
    Match 5333NZ$566
    Match 4 + Bonus673NZ$64.00
    Match 412,844NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus15,588NZ$24.00
    Match 3171,076NZ$0.00
    Totals200,529—