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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 October 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 19
  4. 28
  5. 32
  6. 40
  7. 13

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 835 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-10-13All recent draws2021-10-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 19 28 32 40 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.

  • sum57th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 125 of each

2126times
7123times
19149times
28118times
32

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-16

  • Lines in play≈ 19Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$4.6Mto 643k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 5.0

Where the money went

  • Match 622%NZ$1M
  • Match 425%NZ$1.2M
  • Match 3 + Bonus25%NZ$1.1M
  • 3 other tiers28%NZ$1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 5.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

123times
40126times

Every number was expected about that many times after 834 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 19, 32, 40) with the draw of 24 February 2018 — its closest relative in 834 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 October 2021): 19, 28 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

128

The numbers add up to 128 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus32≈ 30 by chanceNZ$18,342
  • Match 51,013≈ 989 by chanceNZ$575
  • Match 4 + Bonus2,601≈ 2.5k by chanceNZ$51.00
  • Match 440,148≈ 40k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus54,476≈ 53k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3545,061≈ 545k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈19M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 2,601 winners, 5% more than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus32NZ$18,342
    Match 51,013NZ$575
    Match 4 + Bonus2,601NZ$51.00
    Match 440,148NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus54,476NZ$21.00
    Match 3545,061NZ$0.00
    Totals643,335—