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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 7 July 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 14
  4. 15
  5. 30
  6. 31
  7. 39

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 806 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-07-03All recent draws2021-07-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 14 15 30 31 + 3929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 121 of each

3115times
8113times
14114times
15139times
30

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-07

  • Lines in play≈ 5.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.1Mto 193k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$184.1K
  • Match 432%NZ$369.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$364.1K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$224.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

115times
31121times

Every number was expected about that many times after 805 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 14, 15, 31) with the draw of 6 February 2019 — its closest relative in 805 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15, 30–31. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 9.1 by chanceNZ$23,013
  • Match 5330≈ 301 by chanceNZ$553
  • Match 4 + Bonus640≈ 752 by chanceNZ$65.00
  • Match 411,924≈ 12k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus14,563≈ 16k by chanceNZ$25.00
  • Match 3165,830≈ 166k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 640 winners, 15% fewer than the 752 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$23,013
    Match 5330NZ$553
    Match 4 + Bonus640NZ$65.00
    Match 411,924NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus14,563NZ$25.00
    Match 3165,830NZ$0.00
    Totals193,295—