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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 12 May 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 26
  4. 29
  5. 32
  6. 35
  7. 11

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 790 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-05-08All recent draws2021-05-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 26 29 32 35 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 118 of each

2122times
3112times
26123times
29125times
32

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-12

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.1Mto 172k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$178.3K
  • Match 432%NZ$352K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$346.9K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$217.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

116times
35129times

Every number was expected about that many times after 789 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 3, 29, 35) with the draw of 25 November 2020 — its closest relative in 789 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 May 2021): 26, 29, 35 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 8.0 by chanceNZ$22,289
  • Match 5253≈ 265 by chanceNZ$699
  • Match 4 + Bonus695≈ 662 by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 410,353≈ 11k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus15,082≈ 14k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3145,894≈ 146k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 15,082 winners, 7% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$22,289
    Match 5253NZ$699
    Match 4 + Bonus695NZ$58.00
    Match 410,353NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus15,082NZ$23.00
    Match 3145,894NZ$0.00
    Totals172,285—