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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 20 March 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 11
  3. 17
  4. 23
  5. 31
  6. 40
  7. 14

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 775 of 1,355 under them

← 2021-03-17All recent draws2021-03-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 11 17 23 31 40 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 116 of each

1131times
11114times
17127times
23123times
31

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-20

  • Lines in play≈ 8.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 286k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 65 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$491.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$469.0K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$542.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 65≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

112times
40118times

Every number was expected about that many times after 774 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 11, 31, 40) with the draw of 5 September 2015 — its closest relative in 774 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 March 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$200,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 13 by chanceNZ$17,460
  • Match 5572≈ 442 by chanceNZ$424
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,071≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$52.00
  • Match 418,888≈ 18k by chanceNZ$26.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,333≈ 24k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3243,378≈ 243k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 18,888 winners, 7% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 65NZ$200,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$17,460
    Match 5572NZ$424
    Match 4 + Bonus1,071NZ$52.00
    Match 418,888NZ$26.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,333NZ$21.00
    Match 3243,378NZ$0.00
    Totals286,261—