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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 20 February 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 10
  3. 16
  4. 19
  5. 29
  6. 30
  7. 11

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 767 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-02-17All recent draws2021-02-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 10 16 19 29 30 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 115 of each

7113times
10123times
16115times
19139times
29

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-20

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.1Mto 386k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 3.0

Where the money went

  • Match 633%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$669.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$647.7K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$746.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 3.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

122times
30109times

Every number was expected about that many times after 766 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 16, 19, 29) with the draw of 15 July 2020 — its closest relative in 766 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 February 2021): 16 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus21≈ 18 by chanceNZ$16,009
  • Match 5627≈ 590 by chanceNZ$532
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,638≈ 1.5k by chanceNZ$47.00
  • Match 424,780≈ 24k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus34,092≈ 31k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3325,275≈ 325k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,638 winners, 11% more than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus21NZ$16,009
    Match 5627NZ$532
    Match 4 + Bonus1,638NZ$47.00
    Match 424,780NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus34,092NZ$19.00
    Match 3325,275NZ$0.00
    Totals386,436—