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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 30 January 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 11
  3. 18
  4. 20
  5. 29
  6. 34
  7. 28

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 761 of 1,359 under them

← 2021-01-27All recent draws2021-02-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 11 18 20 29 34 + 2829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 114 of each

1126times
11109times
18119times
20116times
29

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-30

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.5Mto 261k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$247.5K
  • Match 432%NZ$488.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$481.8K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$302K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

121times
34103times

Every number was expected about that many times after 760 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 20, 29, 34) with the draw of 27 May 2020 — its closest relative in 760 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 January 2021): 29 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus6≈ 12 by chanceNZ$41,252
  • Match 5405≈ 404 by chanceNZ$606
  • Match 4 + Bonus913≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 415,755≈ 16k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus20,949≈ 22k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3222,719≈ 223k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 913 winners, 10% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus6NZ$41,252
    Match 5405NZ$606
    Match 4 + Bonus913NZ$62.00
    Match 415,755NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus20,949NZ$23.00
    Match 3222,719NZ$0.00
    Totals260,747—