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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 9 January 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 14
  3. 17
  4. 28
  5. 30
  6. 34
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 755 of 1,355 under them

← 2021-01-06All recent draws2021-01-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 14 17 28 30 34 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 113 of each

11107times
14112times
17120times
28108times
30

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-09

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 250k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 419%NZ$476.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$464.4K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$536.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

106times
34102times

Every number was expected about that many times after 754 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 28, 34) with the draw of 25 January 2020 — its closest relative in 754 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 12 by chanceNZ$22,009
  • Match 5343≈ 385 by chanceNZ$700
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,031≈ 962 by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 415,375≈ 15k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,108≈ 21k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3212,138≈ 212k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,031 winners, 7% more than the 962 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$22,009
    Match 5343NZ$700
    Match 4 + Bonus1,031NZ$53.00
    Match 415,375NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,108NZ$22.00
    Match 3212,138NZ$0.00
    Totals250,008—