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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 5 December 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 10
  4. 14
  5. 15
  6. 20
  7. 8

JackpotNZ$999,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 745 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-12-02All recent draws2020-12-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 10 14 15 20 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd21th
  • low99th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 112 of each

1122times
4107times
10119times
14111times
15

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-05

  • Lines in play≈ 8.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.5Mto 275k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$1M
  • Match 419%NZ$475.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$475.3K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$530.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

129times
20112times

Every number was expected about that many times after 744 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 14, 15, 20) with the draw of 25 April 2015 — its closest relative in 744 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 December 2020): 4 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

64

The numbers add up to 64 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus22≈ 13 by chanceNZ$10,856
  • Match 5464≈ 419 by chanceNZ$511
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,247≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$44.00
  • Match 417,624≈ 17k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus25,015≈ 22k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3230,822≈ 231k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,247 winners, 19% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus22NZ$10,856
    Match 5464NZ$511
    Match 4 + Bonus1,247NZ$44.00
    Match 417,624NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus25,015NZ$19.00
    Match 3230,822NZ$0.00
    Totals275,197—