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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 23 September 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 11
  4. 17
  5. 18
  6. 24
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 724 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-09-19All recent draws2020-09-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 11 17 18 24 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 108 of each

1116times
4104times
11103times
17115times
18

Prize breakdown · 2020-09-23

  • Lines in play≈ 6.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.1Mto 215k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.7

Where the money went

  • Match 647%NZ$1M
  • Match 417%NZ$357K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$357.6K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$402.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

114times
24114times

Every number was expected about that many times after 723 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 4, 11, 17) with the draw of 30 November 2013 — its closest relative in 723 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 September 2020): 17 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 10.0 by chanceNZ$12,071
  • Match 5312≈ 329 by chanceNZ$576
  • Match 4 + Bonus942≈ 821 by chanceNZ$44.00
  • Match 413,731≈ 13k by chanceNZ$26.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,821≈ 18k by chanceNZ$19.00
  • Match 3181,067≈ 181k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 942 winners, 15% more than the 821 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$12,071
    Match 5312NZ$576
    Match 4 + Bonus942NZ$44.00
    Match 413,731NZ$26.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,821NZ$19.00
    Match 3181,067NZ$0.00
    Totals214,890—