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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 16 September 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 17
  3. 18
  4. 25
  5. 29
  6. 37
  7. 22

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 722 of 1,359 under them

← 2020-09-12All recent draws2020-09-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 17 18 25 29 37 + 2229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 108 of each

11102times
17113times
18113times
25108times
29

Prize breakdown · 2020-09-16

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.2Mto 205k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.6

Where the money went

  • Match 646%NZ$1M
  • Match 418%NZ$379.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus17%NZ$360.6K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$420.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

113times
37104times

Every number was expected about that many times after 721 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 18, 25, 37) with the draw of 8 August 2018 — its closest relative in 721 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 September 2020): 17 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus6≈ 9.6 by chanceNZ$31,617
  • Match 5327≈ 316 by chanceNZ$575
  • Match 4 + Bonus811≈ 789 by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 412,233≈ 13k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus17,173≈ 17k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3173,958≈ 174k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 12,233 winners, 3% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus6NZ$31,617
    Match 5327NZ$575
    Match 4 + Bonus811NZ$53.00
    Match 412,233NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus17,173NZ$21.00
    Match 3173,958NZ$0.00
    Totals204,510—